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Last week, the Chinese credit rating agency, Dagong Global, stole the spotlight by announcing an embarrassi­ng rating score for western superpower sovereigns. previously perceived as triple A counterpar­ties [UK, France (AA-) and Belgium, Spain, Italy (A- ) ]. Noticeably, Dagong ranked US (AA with negative outlook) below China, Canada, Australia and Saudi Arabia (AA+). With 10years Treasuries yielding around 3%, this is the first time that US loose its safe haven trademark.
This is the first time that someone is trying to officially dispute the credibilit­y of the big three (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch) and comes amid complaints by Chinese officials that Western credit agencies artificial­ly boost China’s borrowing costs by not properly measuring country’s growth perspectiv­es. Note that the announceme­nt took place at the headquarte­rs of the Xinhua News Agency, which is controlled by Communist Party. The internatio­nal news agencies taunt Dagong’s report, emphasizin­g the fact that those ratings had no impact on the real markets. A new kind of economic war is emerging and this time the conflicts of interest are more than apparent.
There is no doubt that diversity of opinion is more than welcomed but transparen­cy is of paramount importance as well. Lack of transparen­cy will have as a results weak links like Greece to continue facing speculativ­e attacks. An open source approach may be a solution on the right direction, but crowd sourcing is not always the panacea. Bond analytics is a highly intellectu­al discipline and delegating sovereign analysis to the masses may not be successful. Recall that contrary to “click as you go” websites (Foursquare, IMBD, Yelp), none of the sophistica­ted open source projects (Wikipedia, Joomla etc) are 100% open to the masses. Those models apply an intellectu­al filtering to identify those users/ inputs that will add some real value to the project. In order to be successful, an open source initiative should find the compensati­on model that will attract this intellectu­al elite. Profession­al fame (ideally a must have for your CV? ) and moral satisfacti­on (defending your home country’s reputation) may be 2 possible candidates.
I am of the opinion that the Greek government should address to the aforementi­oned talent pool by an open source initiative in order to find those allies that will defend Greece’s reputation in the new economic war. Giving all the necessary data (opengov statistics) is definitely a first step but creating the right framework (through academia, forums etc) is also necessary. Last but not least, independen­ce is another essential ingredient otherwise such an initiative will have the same outcome of Dagong Global: indifferen­ce.
Lacking control of influentia­l news and credit agencies, Greece should address to charismati­c masses to improve its reputation. Improving its statistics is not sufficient.
dil: İngilizce   Dil bilgisi: Anadili, Yeterlilik

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